We’re back from our summer break here at the Voice on
Telecom. And though we were gone for
only two months, it seems that all the trends we’ve been examining since last
October are now on fast forward.
On one hand, voice and SMS are under ever-increasing price
pressure, at least in places like the US and Europe. (Though let’s not forget
that huge swathes of the developing world are just getting connected now, and
most operators in all markets will see huge voice and SMS revenues for decades
to come). The clearest example is in the
US ,
where AT&T has just come out with its shared data plans (Verizon did the
same earlier in the year). This sparked a net neutrality debate, as AT&T
will only allow FaceTime
cellular access on the new iPhone to “share plan” customers.
What caused no fuss at all in the media was the fact that
both the Verizon and AT&T plans include
unlimited voice and SMS. At the same
time, WhatsApp, the OTT messaging company, now sends or receives more than 10
billion messages a day, just months after it hit 1 billion messages. According
to a report
from mobileSquared, OTT services are affecting traffic for almost
three-quarters of operators, link to the whitepaper a big jump from 2011.
But there is lots of good news too. MetroPCS in the US
has launched Voice over LTE, as have two operators in South Korea , SK Telecom and LGU+.
This has real potential to kick start video calling and allow developers to
expand voice offerings as the VoLTE community expands, and perhaps in the long
runs as possible frustration over FaceTime and other OTT video services grows.
In Korea ,
the two operators are branding VoLTE differently but also
offering a wider range of VoLTE services, like HD Voice. Both companies
also promised to unveil more
VoLTE-capable smartphones as the year goes on.
The GSMA-led Joyn initiative also gained momentum with
its recent launch by Vodafone in Germany. With Joyn – a suite of features
such as instant messaging and video calling based on IMS – up and running in
Spain and Germany, there is now a real opportunity for operators to prove its
value in competition against the OTT competition.
In its report, mobileSquared says that RCS has real
potential as a long-term answer. But it will take time to get enough people in
the Joyn community – both through operator interoperability and the widespread
rollout of Joyn-enabled handsets.
So what can help bridge the gap? Maybe Telco-OTT efforts
like Telefónica’s Tu Me. When we
wrote about this pure OTT play, it quickly became our most-read post ever.
And as of August, the service had 600,000 users, with growing bases in India and the US , where Telefónica is not
present.
Plus, Telefónica only recently started
marketing Tu Me with this slick 60-second ad and a revamped Facebook page with more
than 131,000 “likes.”
Telefónica Digital head Matthew Key said in July that TuMe served
several purposes, from retaining customers leaving for OTT services to
attracting users in places like the US. The group has also signed
deals with Facebook, Google, Microsoft and Research in Motion to enable
direct-to-bill payments, something we
said last December that operators should consider.
In short, we are seeing disruption in real time. And
while this is often scary to incumbents, we want to keep repeating our core
message: there is real opportunity here for operators. But they need to act now
before the window closes.
RCS-e/joyn will get real traction once the native capable devices come to the market, several "born to hit" are already joyn accredited. Once the telcos see that devices are coming with autoprovisionable client (no app, no manual settings) and with the reasonable CAPEX/OPEX involving we will see fast deployments.
ReplyDeleteAlso, we can say that telcos are interested in using RCS-e beyong the person to person messaging case. API network exposure is key (disclaimer: I work on that) and some service providers are trying to have this exposure available asap. Being a platform to create services (own and 3rd party) is the real and big opportunity for monetizing.
Juan, thanks for your comment and for providing more insights into what RCS and Joyn will mean for both telcos and consumers.
ReplyDelete